The probability mass function of a random variable $X$ is given by: $$ P(X = r) = \begin{cases} \frac{{}^nC_r}{32}, & r = 0,1,2,\dots,n \\ 0, & \text{otherwise} \end{cases} $$ Find: $$ P(X \le 2) $$
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Logic Tip: A symmetric binomial distribution (like flipping 5 fair coins) has probabilities that mirror each other: $P(X=0)=P(X=5)$, $P(X=1)=P(X=4)$, etc. Since $P(X \le 2)$ covers exactly half the symmetrical distribution values relative to their weights, it must equal $0.5$.
Concept:
For a valid probability mass function (PMF), the sum of all probabilities over the entire sample space must equal 1.
$$\sum_{r=0}^{n} P(X=r) = 1$$
We also use the binomial theorem property that the sum of all binomial coefficients for a given $n$ is $\sum_{r=0}^{n} {}^nC_r = 2^n$.
Step 1: Find the value of n.
Summing the probabilities for all possible values of $r$ from $0$ to $n$:
$$\sum_{r=0}^{n} \frac{^nC_r}{32} = 1$$
Factor out the constant denominator:
$$\frac{1}{32} \sum_{r=0}^{n} {}^nC_r = 1$$
Substitute the binomial property $\sum_{r=0}^{n} {}^nC_r = 2^n$:
$$\frac{2^n}{32} = 1$$
$$2^n = 32$$
Since $32 = 2^5$, we find that $n = 5$.
Step 2: Calculate the required probability $P(X \le 2)$.
The question asks for $P(X \le 2)$, which is the sum of probabilities for $r = 0, 1, 2$:
$$P(X \le 2) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2)$$
Substitute the PMF formula with $n=5$:
$$P(X \le 2) = \frac{^5C_0}{32} + \frac{^5C_1}{32} + \frac{^5C_2}{32}$$
Evaluate the combinations:
$${}^5C_0 = 1$$
$${}^5C_1 = 5$$
$${}^5C_2 = \frac{5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} = 10$$
Add the terms:
$$P(X \le 2) = \frac{1 + 5 + 10}{32} = \frac{16}{32}$$
Simplify the fraction:
$$P(X \le 2) = \frac{1}{2}$$