Question:

Let \(A,B,C\) be three events such that \(P(C)P(C^c)>0\). Consider the following statements.

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Use the law of total probability whenever conditional probabilities with respect to \(C\) and \(C^c\) are given together.
Updated On: Jun 4, 2026
  • \(S1\) is correct and \(S2\) is NOT correct
  • \(S1\) is NOT correct and \(S2\) is correct
  • Both \(S1\) and \(S2\) are correct
  • Neither \(S1\) nor \(S2\) is correct
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The Correct Option is C

Solution and Explanation

Step 1: Use the law of total probability for statement \(S1\).
Since \(P(C)P(C^c)>0\), both \(P(C)>0\) and \(P(C^c)>0\).
Now, by the law of total probability,
\[ P(A)=P(A|C)P(C)+P(A|C^c)P(C^c) \] and
\[ P(B)=P(B|C)P(C)+P(B|C^c)P(C^c) \]

Step 2: Compare \(P(A)\) and \(P(B)\).
Given that
\[ P(A|C)>P(B|C) \] and
\[ P(A|C^c)>P(B|C^c) \] Multiplying the first inequality by \(P(C)>0\), we get
\[ P(A|C)P(C)>P(B|C)P(C) \] Multiplying the second inequality by \(P(C^c)>0\), we get
\[ P(A|C^c)P(C^c)>P(B|C^c)P(C^c) \] Adding both inequalities,
\[ P(A|C)P(C)+P(A|C^c)P(C^c) > P(B|C)P(C)+P(B|C^c)P(C^c) \] Therefore,
\[ P(A)>P(B) \] So, statement \(S1\) is correct.

Step 3: Analyze statement \(S2\).
Given that
\[ P(A|C)=P(A|C^c) \] Let this common value be \(k\).
So,
\[ P(A|C)=k \] and
\[ P(A|C^c)=k \]

Step 4: Find \(P(A)\).
Again using the law of total probability,
\[ P(A)=P(A|C)P(C)+P(A|C^c)P(C^c) \] Substitute the common value \(k\):
\[ P(A)=kP(C)+kP(C^c) \] \[ P(A)=k\{P(C)+P(C^c)\} \] Since
\[ P(C)+P(C^c)=1 \] we get
\[ P(A)=k \] Thus,
\[ P(A|C)=P(A) \]

Step 5: Conclude independence.
Since
\[ P(A|C)=P(A) \] and \(P(C)>0\), it follows that
\[ P(A\cap C)=P(A)P(C) \] Hence, \(A\) and \(C\) are independent.
Therefore, statement \(S2\) is correct.

Step 6: Final conclusion.
Both \(S1\) and \(S2\) are correct.
Hence,
\[ \boxed{(C)} \]
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