Step 1: Understanding the Question.
The project has 5 events (1 to 5) connected by 7 activities, each with an optimistic (a), most likely (m), and pessimistic (b) time estimate. We need the expected completion date, given a start date of 27 July 2026 and one holiday on 15 August 2026.
Step 2: Key Formula.
The expected duration of each PERT activity is
\[ t_e = \frac{a + 4m + b}{6} \]
The project duration is the length of the longest path (critical path) from the start event to the end event, using these expected durations.
Step 3: Compute the expected time for each activity.
\[ t_e(P) = \frac{4+4(6)+8}{6} = \frac{36}{6} = 6 \]
\[ t_e(Q) = \frac{5+4(6)+13}{6} = \frac{42}{6} = 7 \]
\[ t_e(R) = \frac{6+4(8)+22}{6} = \frac{60}{6} = 10 \]
\[ t_e(S) = \frac{8+4(11)+14}{6} = \frac{66}{6} = 11 \]
\[ t_e(T) = \frac{2+4(4)+12}{6} = \frac{30}{6} = 5 \]
\[ t_e(U) = \frac{4+4(8)+18}{6} = \frac{54}{6} = 9 \]
\[ t_e(V) = \frac{5+4(7)+15}{6} = \frac{48}{6} = 8 \]
Step 4: List all paths from event 1 to event 5 and find their lengths.
1 to 2 to 5 (P + R): \(6+10=16\) days
1 to 2 to 3 to 5 (P + S + T): \(6+11+5=22\) days
1 to 2 to 3 to 4 to 5 (P + S + U + V): \(6+11+9+8=34\) days
1 to 3 to 5 (Q + T): \(7+5=12\) days
1 to 3 to 4 to 5 (Q + U + V): \(7+9+8=24\) days
The longest path is 1 to 2 to 3 to 4 to 5, taking 34 days. This is the critical path, so the project duration is 34 days.
Step 5: Count 34 working days from 27 July 2026, skipping the 15 August holiday.
Counting day 1 as 27 July, the 5 remaining days of July (27, 28, 29, 30, 31) take us to day 5. Day 6 is 1 August, so day \(n\) (for \(n \geq 6\)) falls on August date \((n-5)\), before accounting for the holiday.
Without any holiday, day 34 would fall on August \((34-5) = 29\).
But 14 August is day 19 (since \(19-5=14\)), so 15 August (day 20 in the naive count) is a holiday and is skipped, pushing every later day back by one.
So the actual day 34 (34th working day) falls on 30 August 2026.
Final Answer:
The expected date of completion of the project is 30 August 2026.
\[ \boxed{30} \]