The passage opens by stating its central thesis directly, that the depreciation of an economy's currency is not a matter of concern in itself, and that the decline in value against major currencies has to be viewed within a set of macroeconomic factors. The question asks which statement the author is most likely to agree with, so the answer should track this framing rather than treat depreciation as either always alarming or never worth attention. Let's look at each option.
Only the second option captures the author's actual, more nuanced position, that depreciation is a symptom to be read in context rather than an automatic red flag.
Therefore, the correct answer is Currency depreciation is not a reason for worry in itself, but if macroeconomic factors are not good, there may be a cause for concern.
The passage explains that the rupee's decline is being driven by rising interest rates in developed markets pulling investors toward the US dollar, alongside a higher import bill for India that increases demand for dollars. Anything that reverses these specific pressures should ease the rupee's decline. Let's test each option against this chain of causation.
Since the third option undoes the very mechanisms the passage identifies as driving the rupee down, it is the one that would actually reduce the decline in the rupee's value.
Therefore, the correct answer is A reduction in worldwide inflationary trends and the reduction of interest rates in developed country markets.
The author's central argument is that the rupee's decline is driven by identifiable external macroeconomic forces, the war, global inflation, developed-market rate hikes, and resulting capital outflows and import pressures. A statement that weakens this argument would need to break the link between these external forces and the rupee's actual behaviour. Let's evaluate each option.
Because the fourth option, if true, would remove the causal connection the entire passage is built on, it is the one that most weakens the author's argument.
Therefore, the correct answer is The Indian economy and currency are highly protected and have been insulated from the effects of global inflationary trends and the increase of interest rates in developed country markets.
The passage explains that even a weaker rupee may not help Indian exporters much, because international demand is expected to stagnate, and separately notes that India's growth and employment situations are yet to stabilise. Both of these point toward a broader theme in the passage, that global economic conditions, not just the rupee's exchange rate, determine how India's trade and growth actually play out. Reading the options against this backdrop helps identify which one fits the passage's own logic.
The option describing a worldwide slowdown reducing import demand is the one consistent with the passage's own reasoning about stagnant international demand.
Therefore, the correct answer is Economies across the world are witnessing a slowdown, and in such economies, demand for imports decreases substantially.
A must-necessarily-be-true question needs the option that follows logically from the passage's own stated chain of cause and effect, without adding speculation the passage does not support. The passage's chain is that global inflation and developed-market rate hikes push investors toward the dollar and raise India's import bill, both of which increase demand for dollars and, left unaddressed, weaken the rupee. Let's check each option.
Only the second option is a faithful, necessary consequence of the mechanism the passage itself lays out.
Therefore, the correct answer is If nothing else is done, the rise of interest rates in developed country markets, coupled with hardening of inflationary trends across the world, will result in a fall in the value of the rupee against the dollar.
The passage closes by describing the RBI's position as one of difficult trade-offs, controlling inflation versus stimulating growth and stabilising the rupee without severely diminishing the economy's foreign exchange kitty. This framing suggests the author sees rupee stability as one goal among several competing priorities, not the only one that matters. Let's check each option against this.
The author's closing description of the RBI facing difficult choices across several goals supports a balanced approach rather than a single-minded focus on the rupee alone.
Therefore, the correct answer is The RBI must not focus solely on preventing the depreciation of the rupee, as that may result in negative impacts on other aspects of the economy.